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On October 23, the Bank of Canada (BoC) announced another interest rate cut of 50 basis points, reducing its target for the overnight rate to 3.75%, with bank rate at 4%.
This is the first time since 2020 that a 50 basis-point rate cut has been made, with BoC looking to support economic growth and keep inflation between 1-3%.
As the real estate industry gears up for these changes, it’s essential to understand how this development could impact various market participants – whether you’re a realtor, prospective homebuyer, developer, or investor.
In this article, Jamie Squires, President & Managing Broker of Fifth Avenue Real Estate Marketing Ltd. shares her insights on how this announcement will impact our industry and what potential outcomes this change could have on our real estate markets.
The BoC’s decision aims to further stimulate economic growth and encourage borrowing. Considering that the rate of inflation has decreased significantly faster than anticipated, the 50 basis point reduction triggers lower interest rates, affecting affordability, demand, and overall market dynamics for the real estate industry.
Buyers and Sellers:
For prospective homebuyers, this large rate cut is an opportunity to secure even better mortgage terms. Reduced interest rates translate into lower monthly mortgage payments, making homeownership more accessible, especially for first-time buyers. This decrease can also bring back potential buyers who may have previously been priced out of the market, helping to rejuvenate demand. Along with the latest mortgage reforms, we can see first-time buyers finally acting on purchasing that home when they have been waiting for the past 6-12 months. The required income amount will also decrease for those qualifying for the stress test. Additionally, existing homeowners with upcoming mortgage renewals may experience some relief in terms of monthly payments, even though the jump from prior lower rates to current levels still remain substantial.
Sellers can expect increased demand for their properties as more buyers take advantage of the favourable borrowing environment. With enhanced affordability, this renewed interest is likely to drive competition among buyers, potentially increasing property values. Sellers should be strategic about pricing to maximize this advantage and prepare for heightened activity in the market.
Real Estate Developers:
For developers, the real cut signals a potentially more robust market for new projects. Lower borrowing costs make financing development projects more accessible, while heightened demand from buyers could lead to quicker sales, reducing holding costs. This reduction also provides developers an opportunity to advance project timelines and consider new developments that cater to the needs of prospective buyers. Moreover, the decrease in construction loan rates could help alleviate some financial pressures, improving the overall feasibility of large-scale residential and commercial projects.
Investors:
Real estate investors stand to benefit from the continued interest rate reduction as it further improves the environment for financing new investments. The combination of lower borrowing costs and anticipated increases in property values make it an opportune time for investors to diversify their portfolios, particularly with long-term rental properties. Moreover, with the flipping tax coming into effect in 2025, securing properties now and completing them before tax implications kick in may be a smart financial move.
As prices traditionally rise with lower interest rates, investors looking for long-term capital appreciation should consider locking in lower-rate financing before prices escalate. The opportunity for higher rental yeilds and property appreciation could prove advantageous for investors looking to expand their holdings.
Local Market Insights
Several recent articles and major local news stories provide valuable insights into the current state of the market and the anticipated effects of the interest rate cut:
- Bank of Canada: “Bank of Canada reduces policy rate by 50 basis points to 3.75%”: Coverage of the rate announcement and its implications for mortgage holders and prospective homebuyers, including expert analysis on navigating the new financial landscape.
- Financial Post: Bank of Canada cuts interest rate by half point to 3.75%: The Bank of Canada dropped its policy rate by 50 basis points on Wednesday, bringing the interest rate down to 3.75 per cent, as policymakers try to keep inflation near their target with a fourth consecutive rate cut.
- CBC News: “Bank of Canada cuts key interest rate by half point for first time since COVID-19 pandemic: Wednesday’s 50 basis-point cut to 3.75 percent is twice the size of previous cut. The last time the bank made a cut this size was on March 27, 2020.
Strategic Perspective
This interest rate cut has the potential to shift buyer sentiment toward a more optimistic outlook. With borrowing costs reduced, more buyers are likely to feel financially confident in entering the market. Real estate professionals, developers, buyers and sellers must remain agile and prepared to meet this renewed demand.
Buyer Sentiment and Market Dynamics:
This increased confidence could lead to higher levels of market activity, with more mortgage applications, home viewings, and faster sales cycles. Realtors should be ready for an uptick in inquiries and transactions, especially in entry-level and mid-range housing segments. Strategic pricing will be essential to capitalize on the market’s potential, and timely responses to buyer interest can further enhance sales outcomes.
Financing and Lending:
With lending becoming more attractive, financial institutions are likely to experience a rise in mortgage applications. This competitive environment may lead to more attractive mortgage products, giving buyers better options. Both lenders and borrowers should leverage this period to secure favourable terms, locking in lower rates before market conditions shift.
Mortgages & Product Demand:
For prospective homebuyers, the current climate presents an optimal opportunity to secure a property with reduced monthly payments. This affordability boost is likely to drive demand in the residential market, particularly for entry-level homes and properties aimed at upgrading buyers. Developers and real estate professionals should anticipate increased interest in these segments and position themselves to cater to this surge in demand.
As we navigate this evolving economic landscape, Fifth Avenue Real Estate Marketing Ltd. remains committed to offering guidance and real-time market insights. Whether you’re a buyer, seller, developer or investor, understanding how these changes can affect your real estate plans is crucial. Our team is here to help you make informed decisions that align with your goals.
For personalized advice on how the interest rate cut might impact your real estate plans, please contact our team. We are here to support you through every step of your real estate journey.
About the Author
Jamie Squires is the President and Managing Broker of Fifth Avenue Real Estate Marketing LTD., with over 21 years of experience in the real estate industry. Known for her expertise and client-focused approach, Jamie is dedicated to helping clients navigate the complexities of the real estate market.
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